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Putting The Odds on a Chancellorship

So the Wisconsin press is just full of gushing articles about Biddy Martin, and her consideration for the UW-Madison chancellorship.

And Biddy is just gushing in return:

I saw that it was open, it immediately appealed to me because of my knowledge of the university, my love of Madison and the University of Wisconsin, Martin said.

We have to assume that if Biddy is given the opportunity, she will take it. So what's the possibility that she is selected? There are three other candidates, so one might think that the probability might be one in four.

But we're going to go out on a limb and put the odds that Biddy leaves Cornell for Wisconsin at closer to 70 to 80 percent. Simply put, Biddy is the most qualified for the job. None of the other three candidates have managed the day to day operations of a large research university for the last eight years. But Biddy has, and she has done a pretty admirable job during her tenure at Cornell.

Either way, we'll know by early June.

So let's assume that Biddy gets the job. How does that affect Cornell? The capital campaign? And Biddy's various initiatives? For the time being, we think David Harris will be named interim provost. After all, he's been the deputy provost for close to a year now. But then it will be interesting to see who the next provost will be. If the last two provosts of Cornell have gone on to the top spots at the University of Chicago and the University of Wisconsin, there's no denying the fact that the provost position at Cornell is highly coveted within the ivy-coated walls of academia.

Let us know your thoughts.

Matthew Nagowski | Posted on May 14, 2008 (#)

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