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Overenrolled Again? Yield Higher Than Expected

The New York Times reports that Cornell's Class of 2014 yield is consistent with last year's class, at 49 percent:

At Harvard, for example, more than three of every four applicants who received an acceptance letter had committed by the May 1 deadline to enroll, a slight increase over last year. (The university said it still expected to offer acceptance to as many as 75 applicants on its waiting list.) At Dartmouth, the yield for the new freshman class was 55 percent, an increase of seven percentage points; the increase was so large that the college said it might not have room for anyone on its waiting list. North Carolina said its yield was 53.3 percent (compared with 53.9 percent at this time last year). But that figure is likely to rise, as it does not include all responses to the nearly 350 wait-list offers the university made and whose replies are due next week. Cornell said its yield rate was relatively flat, 49 percent, as was that of the University of Pennsylvania, at 63 percent. Neither institution said it had decided its waiting-list offers.

49 percent of the 6,678 acceptances this year yields 3271 matriculates, or around 120 more than the University's target of 3150.

Back in January I predicted a yield of 48.3 percent.

Of course, this is all before the "summer melt" whereby students get in off the waitlist at other schools and decide to renege their decision to attend Cornell.

Interesting to note that the admissions may still decide to go to the waitlist. This is because it is possible that some of the individual colleges may be closer to under-enrolling than Cornell as a whole.

The rise at Dartmouth is interesting. Not certain if it can be explained. Penn's advantage over Cornell, of course, is based in the fact that it accepts around half of its class early (as opposed to Cornell's third) which serves to artificially inflate its yield.

Matthew Nagowski | Posted on May 12, 2010 (#)

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